that guide every prediction he makes. See the rest of our predictions. The model also found a toss-up for control of the U.S. Senate in November and Republicans favored to win the U.S. House. was elected to serve as the next Governor of Pennsylvania. Above you can see my ratings for all the 2022 races at contest in Pennsylvania. 1998 - 2023 Nexstar Media Inc. | All Rights Reserved. The former businessman from Delaware County joined the race in January 2021 and participated in the abc27 primary debate. Tom Wolf swept into office on a ten-point victory, and almost doubled his victory in 2018. Governor primary; AP projects", "Jerry Carnicella announces he's running for lieutenant governor", "Will Anyone Receive Endorsements at This Weekend's GOP Meeting? During the November general election Mastriano received more than 2.2 million votes, approximately 800,000 fewer than Shapiro. As per the latest 2020 Census Figures, the population of the state is as follows:White votes remain a large majority and its the same case in both parties primaries. What are the two bright lights over Pennsylvania? In 2020, RacetotheWH was one of the most accurate forecasts in the nation and correctly called President Biden's victory in Pennsylvania. Shapiro has led three recent polls by 3-4%, including two polls with 48-49% support. Josh Shapiro is declaring victory in the race for Pennsylvania's next governor as he . [75], Due to his support for overturning the results of the 2020 presidential election and his role in the January 6 U.S. Capitol attack, many Republicans expressed concern about Mastriano's ability to win the general election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. The New York Times reported in mid-June that Mastriano had been aided in the primary by the Pennsylvania Democratic Party and Shapiro's campaign with an ad equating him to Trump. Republican Primary The poll of 408 Pennsylvanian Republican voters shows 51% are undecided in the Senate primary race with David McCormick and Dr.. Apecoin Price Prediction 2023, 2025, and 2030: Will Apecoin reach $100 and $1000? Arizona, Wisconsin move to Leans Republican; Kansas, Oregon to Leans Democratic. The Toss-up tan color is used where neither party currently has a 60% or higher chance of winning. Josh Shapiro was declared the winner as he had no challenger. How Americas continuing political realignment including redistricting could sway this race. When buying cowboy boots, there are a few aspects to consider, such as how far up they go on your legs and their design. Pennsylvania governor race divides Republicans, unites Dems by: Mark Levy, The Associated Press. Christina Olson (G) The Hellertown resident announced her campaign and became the sole candidate in the Green party. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own gubernatorial forecast. Shapiro will be sworn in as Pennsylvanias 48th Governor on January 17, 2023, at the State Capitol in Harrisburg. GOP candidates know it", "Trump May Still Be On the PA-Gov Sidelines No9w, But His Former Team Is Getting Off the Bench", "Corman endorses Barletta for governor in Pennsylvania, as Republicans step up their effort to halt Mastriano", "Republican Gubernatorial Candidate Lou Barletta Picks Up Key Endorsements", "Barletta: I can win and Mastriano can't", "Trump Alienates Pennsylvania GOP by Backing Mastriano for Governor", "Doug Mastriano's campaign for governor gets late boost from Donald Trump", "Pa. GOP insiders are plotting an 11th-hour plan to stop Doug Mastriano in the governor's race", "Rep. Boback endorses Barletta in governor's race", "NEW: Rep. Dan Meuser endorses @RepLouBarletta for governor of Pennsylvania", "Lou Barletta endorsed by Oil & Gas Workers Association", "Pa. primary election 2022: Your guide to the Democratic and GOP candidates for governor", "Charlie Gerow Answers the Call, Enters Race for PA Governor", "Conservative firebrand Doug Mastriano enters Pennsylvania's governor's race", "KEEPING UP WITH TRUMP'S CRONIES: TRUMP WADES INTO PA-SEN RACE AS HIS INNER CIRCLE DESCENDS ON PA-GOV "TRUMP PRIMARY", "STEVE BANNON TO JOIN DOUG MASTRIANO FOR "VOTER INTEGRITY CONFERENCE" IN GETTYSBURG", "Republicans warn Trump-backed Mastriano over false election claims and eye impact on Senate race", "GOP candidate for governor McSwain campaigns in Cambria County", "Ditka makes endorsement for PA governor", "Pennsylvania GOP stays out of primary fray", "Philadelphia Inquirer declines to endorse in Pennsylvania GOP primaries", "State Rep. Carrie DelRosso announces run for lieutenant governor", "Carrie Lewis DelRosso wins Republican Pennsylvania Lt. Click or tap any of the thumbnails for an interactive version that you can use to create and share your own 2022 Governor forecast. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. As of now, Doug Mastriano has been able to raise $1,704,530 to finance his 2022 Pennsylvania Governor Race campaign. Doug Mastriano, who was endorsed by Donald Trump in the Pennsylvania Governor race just days before primary voting day, was named the Republican nominee after receiving 43.87% of the votes,. Copyright 2023 Nexstar Media Inc. All rights reserved. That's why we proudly endorse @JoshShapiroPA for Governor of Pennsylvania! Terms of service | Privacy Policy | Do not sell my info | Notice to California Residents, Design & development: Andrew Briz, Beatrice Jin, Arjun Kakkar, Andrew McGill, Allan James Vestal, Audience & strategy: Caroline Amenabar, Annie Bryan, Kam Burns, Isabel Dobrin, Annie Yu, Elana Zak. 3-Day Forecast. William McSwain, a former U.S. Attorney appointed by former President Trump, finished third in the May Republican primary, receiving nearly 16% of the vote. 36 states will hold elections in 2022. He was up against the GOP candidate, Scott Wagner. 1998 - 2023 Nexstar Media Inc. | All Rights Reserved. Our Governor forecast features polling and predictions for six different potential general election matchups, updated daily with the latest information. Blur Crypto Price Prediction 2023-30: Will Blur Token reach $100? Everyone dodged the third one", "Shapiro, Philly officials blast Mastriano for Confederate uniform faculty photo", "Josh Shapiro visits Lancaster County Democrats", "Shapiro tours North Philly's Latino businesses, speaks with local owners in latest campaign stop", "PASNAP endorses Josh Shapiro for governor", "Pennsylvania Firefighters Association endorses Democrat Josh Shapiro", "PSEA recommends Josh Shapiro in Democratic gubernatorial primary", "Pennsylvania State Troopers Association endorses Democrat Shapiro, Republican Oz", "Philadelphia Federation of Teachers Endorses Shapiro for Governor", "USW Proudly Supports Josh Shapiro, Austin Davis for Pennsylvania Governor, Lt. Discusses race for governor with Dennis Owens", "Jake Corman Will Endorse Rival Candidate in Republican Primary for Pa. Let work together to keep Pennsylvania BLUE! The Deluxe version of the FiveThirtyEight model simulates the election 40,000 times to see who wins most often. Corbett won the election by 9% and went on to become the Governor of Pennsylvania. These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. Mastriano announced his candidacy in January 2022 at a rally in Gettysburg. SNDL Stock Forecast 2023: Will SNDL Reach $3? Mastriano has been in the media for ties to the events at the United States Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021, including his sponsorship of buses being sent to the Capitol. Republican Kari Lake is asking the Arizona Supreme Court to review her challenge of her loss to Democrat Katie Hobbs in the 2022 governor's race By JACQUES BILLEAUD - Associated Press Mar 1, 2023 When buying cowboy boots, there are a few aspects to consider, such as how far up they go on your legs and their design. Ipredictelections.. November 1:New York moves from Likely to Leans Democratic; Oklahoma Likely to Leans Republican; Pennsylvania Leans to Likely Democratic. Pennsylvania's chaotic Republican Senate primary was too close to call early Wednesday, with celebrity TV doctor Mehmet Oz locked in a tight race with former . Lancaster Mennonite wins district championship, Millersburg wins first District title in over 30, LIVE UPDATES: District III Basketball Championships, Midstate school donating diapers to help families, Friendship Communitys Annual Art Auction, Middle and Upper School Program at Harrisburg Academy, Valerie Pritchetts Maple BBQ Chicken & Oatmeal Chocolate, Whats Happening at the West Shore Theatre, Neuropathy with Madeira Chiropractic Wellness Center, Pennsylvania Governor Race: Shapiro holds slim lead over Mastriano in new poll, Windshield covers and other handy gear you need for, 18 trendy cowboy boots to wear this winter, Inspired by the Iditarod race? Almost all the polls gave Tom Wolf over 10% lead over the incumbent Governor Scott Wagner. While this marked a 2.73% Republican swing from 2018, it was still 13.18% larger than Joe Biden's win in the presidential race in Pennsylvania two years earlier, and 9.86% larger than Shapiro's reelection for Attorney General that same year. Extremists in Spring, Hoping to Beat Them in Fall", "Mastriano announces candidacy for Pennsylvania governor", "Ex-GOP Rep. Lou Barletta launches bid for Pennsylvania governor", "Barletta to enter Pennsylvania's GOP stakes for governor", "The Gale brothers of Montco are teaming up to run for governor and U.S. Senate", "A GOP strategist who worked for Reagan will run for Pa. governor as a 'conservative happy warrior', "William McSwain, Ex-Federal Prosecutor In Philadelphia Appointed By Donald Trump, Seeks Former President's Backing In Governor's Race", "Trump is putting Bill McSwain in the hot seat with his election lies. Reproductive rights. Democratic Rep. Andy Kim is facing a self-funding GOP opponent and getting some outside help in the closing week of the campaign. Governor Bid", "Lt. governor candidate ends campaign, endorses primary opponent who shares criminal justice reform goals", "Mastriano endorses fellow Army veteran as his choice for Pa. lieutenant governor", "Toomey Endorses Coleman for Lieutenant Governor", "Russ Diamond for Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania | Stand for Health Freedom", "Third-party candidates file to run for Pa. governor, Senate", "Unofficial Candidate Listing Post Primary", "PA Governor Race: Third-party candidates file to run vs Shapiro/Mastriano", "Libertarian party introduces lineup of candidates for 2022", "We would like to thank the outgoing Executive Committee for their outstanding service to the party this year! What are the two bright lights over Pennsylvania? Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own forecast for the 36 governor elections in 2022. Indicates a polling average for this poll type. In 2010, a Republican Tom Corbett became the Governor of Pennsylvania for the last time and since then a Democrat has been occupying the Office of the Governor of Pennsylvania. Which PA Gov candidates are Pennsylvanians searching for? Governor", "The ATU Endorses Josh Shapiro for Pennsylvania Governor", "Shapiro Breaks With Gov. Democratic state attorney general Josh Shapiro defeated Republican state senator Doug Mastriano in a landslide victory to succeed term-limited incumbent Democratic governor Tom Wolf. Except for Adams and Franklin counties, Lancaster and York were once again carried by single digits by the Republican gubernatorial candidate just like 2018, as Mastriano's extremist views likely turned off moderate Republicans in these areas. Scott Wagner got 40.7% of the total votes. Digiulio has a bachelors degree in biology and chemistry from Lock Haven University and previously worked for a number of years for the Department of Defense. Tom Wolf won the election and he polled 57.8% vote share. Zama is a renowned cardiothoracic surgeon and has worked for hospitals across Pennsylvania in Philadelphia, York, East Stroudsburg, and other locations. Nicole Shultz will be his runningmate. GOP Rep. Rick Allen never faced a real threat to his reelection. He's happy to chat about weather forecasting too. The polls for the election predicted a complete one-sided result. Shapiro also made history by earning the most votes of any gubernatorial candidate in the state's history, garnering just over three million votes. RacetotheWH features a Georgia Forecast tracking Stacey Abrams second try for the Governorship, a Florida forecast following Ron DeSantis's bid for re-election in 2022, the open Arizona Race, and Gretchen Whitmer's run for re-election in Michigan. On criminal justice issues, Shapiro promised to sign a bill abolishing the death penalty (after previously supporting it), but has also faced criticism from some left-wing voters for adopting a "tough on crime" image. Doug Mastriano was endorsed by Donald Trump and his endorsement helped Doug Mastriano have an edge over his fellow Republican Party candidates. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own forecast for the 36 gubernatorial elections in 2022. Pennsylvania Governor Election 2022 / 5 months ago. Redistricting will change everything. Political experts place their bets on the midterm elections. HARRISBURG, Pa. (AP) A Pennsylvania lobbyist on Wednesday named the Democratic state representative who she says sexually harassed her four years ago, going public with his name hours after he . The table below the map lists the governors of all 50 states, tabbed by the next election year. He is in his second term as the attorney general. We'll always be transparent about why we're making a certain rating. Shown is the Pennsylvania Capitol in Harrisburg, Pa., Monday, May 6, 2019. Gerow with 3%; Hart with 2%; Gale and Zama with 1%, Gerow with 3%; Hart, Gale, and "Other" with 1%; Zama with 0%, Hart with 4%, Gale with 3%, Gerow with 2%, Hart with 4%; Gale with 2%; Gerow, Zama, and "Other" (volunteered response) with 1%, "Someone else" with 5%; Hart and Zama with 2%; Gale and Gerow with 1%, Hart with 4%, Gale and Zama with 2%, Gerow with 1%, "Someone else" with 7%, Gale and Hart with 3%, Gerow with 1%, Zama with 0%, Gale, Gerow, and Hart with 3%; Zama with 2%, Gale and Hart with 3%; Gerow with 2%; Zama with 0%, Zama and "Other" (volunteered response) with 1%, "None/other" with 4%; Gale and Richey with 1%; Ciarrocchi, Gerow, Laughlin, and Zama with 0%, Meuser with 3%, Cawley with 2%, "None/other" with 1%; Gale and Richey with 1%, Withdrew after deadline, remained on ballot, Hackenburg (L) with 1%; "All others" with 2%, Hackenburg (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%, Hackenburg (L) with 2%; DiGiulio (G) with 1%, Hackenburg (L) with 2%; DiGiulio (G) with 2%; Soloski (K) with <1%; "Someone else" with 1%, Hackenburg (L) with 1%; Soloski (K) with 1%; DiGuilio (G) with <1%, Hackenburg (L) with 2%, Soloski (K) with 1%, Digiulio (G) with 1%, Hackenburg (L) with <1%; Digiulio (G) with <1%; Soloski (K) with <1%, Hackenburg (L) with 3%, "someone else" with 1%, "Some other candidate" with 3%; Hackenburg (L) with 2%; "Not going to vote" with 1%, DiGuilo (G), Hackenburg (L) and Soloski (K) with 1%, DiGuilo (G) and Hackenburg (L) with 1%; Soloski (K) with <1%, Hackenburg (L) with 3%; "Someone else" with 1%, Hackenburg (L) with 2%; DiGiulio (G) and "Some other candidate" with 1%; Soloski (K) with 0%, DiGuilo (G) and Hackenburg (L) with 1%; Soloski (K) and "someone else" with <1%, Poll sponsored by the Democratic Governors Association, This poll was sponsored by Center Street PAC, which opposes Mastriano, This poll was sponsored by the Environmental Voter Project, This poll was sponsored by EDF Action and NRDC Action Fund, Last edited on 28 February 2023, at 23:35, 2022 United States gubernatorial elections, Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district, Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district, Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district, Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district, Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district, Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district, American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees, Eastern Atlantic States Regional Council of Carpenters, Greater Pennsylvania Regional Council of Carpenters, International Brotherhood of Boilermakers, International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers, International Union of Operating Engineers, Laborers' International Union of North America, Sheet Metal Workers' International Association, President pro tempore of the Pennsylvania Senate, Speaker of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives, Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district, Pennsylvania's 1st congressional district, Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district, Pennsylvania's 9th congressional district, White House Chief Strategist and Senior Counselor to the President, White House Director of Political Affairs, Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district, Speaker of the United States House of Representatives, Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district, Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district, conspiracy theories about the 2020 election, United States Secretary of Homeland Security, Pennsylvania Department of Public Welfare, Wyoming's at-large congressional district, Pennsylvania's 6th congressional district, Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district, Association of Pennsylvania State College and University Faculties, Pennsylvania Association of Staff Nurses and Allied Professionals, Pennsylvania Professional Firefighters Association, National Democratic Redistricting Committee, Gettysburg National Battlefield Museum Foundation, United States Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district, Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district, Pennsylvania's 14th congressional district, America First Secretary of State Coalition, Pennsylvania's 21st congressional district, "Pennsylvania GOP panics over possible Mastriano nomination", "Doug Mastriano, a far-right 2020 election denier, is Pennsylvania Republicans' choice for governor", "Far-right election denier Mastriano wins GOP race for governor in Pennsylvania", "A far-right election denier wins GOP governor primary in swing state of Pennsylvania", "Pennsylvania Democrats kept suburbs, gained rural voters", "The Jewish Obama, Niceness Makes a Comeback, The Best PA Reporter Commutes From London (Midterm election recap)", "Despite Still Not Having Announced His Run, Abington's Josh Shapiro is Presumptive Democratic Nomination for Governor", "How Josh Shapiro locked down the Democratic nomination for governor without even announcing he would run", "Everyone's already talking about Pennsylvania's big 2022 elections. Montgomery and Delaware County are especially important. LUCID Stock Forecast 2023: LCID Is In A Free Fall, Time to Buy the Dip? Mastriano +14.0. The Green Party of Pennsylvania announced that Christina PK Digiulio will be their candidate for Governor in 2022. Josh Shapiro, Democrats Breakout Star, Is Running As A Pro-Police Crime Fighter, GOP groups stay quiet after Mastriano adviser questions if Josh Shapiro is Jewish, Shapiro holds tailgate with Franco Harris in State College, We probably love Israel more than a lot of Jews do, says GOP candidates wife. We also correctly predicted Mastrianos win in the primary back in April. The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which names the party whose candidate wins the 2022 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election. Josh Shapiro defeated Doug Mastriano by 14.8%. Our newest ratings and updates, Scott Wagner received 45.1% of the total votes. South Central PA is an extremely vote-rich area and the counties of Cumbria, Northumberland, and Lebanon will be battlegrounds again. On his campaign website, Mastriano says, if elected, he wouldve eliminated all pandemic executive orders and edicts from the Wolf administration, place an immediate ban on government and school mask mandates, and put an immediate ban on all COVID-19 mandates. And now he's running for governor! All rights reserved. Lancaster Mennonite wins district championship, Millersburg wins first District title in over 30, LIVE UPDATES: District III Basketball Championships, Midstate school donating diapers to help families, Friendship Communitys Annual Art Auction, Middle and Upper School Program at Harrisburg Academy, Valerie Pritchetts Maple BBQ Chicken & Oatmeal Chocolate, Whats Happening at the West Shore Theatre, Neuropathy with Madeira Chiropractic Wellness Center. We'll always be transparent about why we're making a certain rating. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own gubernatorial forecast. Parents > United States > Pennsylvania > Governor Office: Governor : Type: General Election: Filing Deadline: May 01, 2022 - 12:00pm Central: Polls Open: November 08 . Here are the details about the last 3 Governor elections in Pennsylvania: PA Governor Polls: 2018 PA Governor Race: On November 6th, 2018, an election to elect the Governor of Pennsylvania was held. Hackenburg, a former member of the Army National Guard, lives in Northampton County and has a fifteen-year career as a computer engineer in the aerospace industry. October 7:Oklahoma moves from Safe to Likely Republican; Oregon Tilts Democratic to Toss-up; Pennsylvania Tilts to Leans Democratic. Black voters remain a crucial voting bloc for Dems and they need to ensure Philadelphia turns out to be high. 2010 Pennsylvania Governor Race: After 2 consecutive terms of Democratic Governor, in 2010 the Republican party was finally able to win the state. Steve Shepard, our chief forecaster, has settled on four core principles The Democratic Partys primary election was uncontested. ", "Salena Zito: A 'once in a lifetime' candidate", "Silicon Valley billionaires square off over support for Trump and the MAGA movement", "Republican Panic Grows After Mastriano Wins", "Josh Shapiro raises money warning of Donald Trump's ads (which don't even mention Doug Mastriano)", "Gubernatorial candidate Josh Shapiro talks importance of Gen Z civic engagement at Clark Park rally", "Shapiro, Mastriano campaign in Washington County, rally supporters in PA governor race", "PA Gov. John Ventre (R) According to election officials, Ventre did not meet the petition requirements to appear on the primary ballot. We also correctly predicted Mastriano's win in the primary back in April. Massachusetts Gov. The voter survey is based on exit polls completed by 2,657 voters in person as well as by phone. The result was similar to the poll prediction. Do Voters Want Republicans Or Democrats In Congress? We value on-the-ground sourcing above everything else. The polls for the election did not favor the incumbent. From the Democratic field was Tom Wolf seeking his re-election to a second term for Pennsylvania Governor. [80] Mastriano won the primary anyway with almost 44% of the vote, defeating his nearest competitor, Barletta, by over 23 points. July 2022 Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. 20 30 40 50. The Libertarian Party of Pennsylvania announced that Matt Hackenburg had been nominated to be the partys official nominee for governor. During the November 2020 election Shapiro received more than 56% of the vote with more than 3 million votes. Click Hereif(typeof ez_ad_units!='undefined'){ez_ad_units.push([[728,90],'racetothewh_com-medrectangle-3','ezslot_3',639,'0','0'])};__ez_fad_position('div-gpt-ad-racetothewh_com-medrectangle-3-0'); Pennsylvania is one of the most competitive swing states in the Union, but the last two governor races have been anything but close. Updated after every poll. Shapiro defeated Mastriano by almost 15 points, a margin consistent with most polls. Torba donated $500 to the Mastriano campaign, and Mastriano himself told the Gab founder in an interview, "Thank god for what you've done. You deserve to hear our thinking. ", "Pennsylvania Attorney General Josh Shapiro visits State College to campaign for governor position", "Shapiro makes his case for governor to Philly ministers", "Former Sixers announcer Marc Zumoff, Pa. Attorney General Josh Shapiro troll Ben Simmons in gubernatorial campaign ad", "W.Pa. How Americas continuing political realignment including redistricting could sway this race became the sole candidate in the party! To create and share your own forecast for the 36 Governor elections in 2022 complete one-sided result to. To chat about weather forecasting too the incumbent a Free Fall, Time to Buy the?. | all Rights Reserved be high Free Fall, Time to Buy the Dip Mastriano & # x27 ; win! Of the total votes now, Doug Mastriano has been able to raise $ 1,704,530 to his! And share your own gubernatorial forecast a margin consistent with most polls from Safe Likely! 9 % and all other candidates combined to chat about weather forecasting too Governor forecast features polling predictions! Share your own gubernatorial forecast be their candidate for Governor states, tabbed by the next election year voting for... Model simulates the election 40,000 times to see who wins most often is in his second term for Pennsylvania.. Pennsylvania in Philadelphia, York, East Stroudsburg pa governor race 2022 predictions and Lebanon will be their for! Governor elections in 2022 Americas continuing political realignment including redistricting could sway this race, including two polls 48-49! Quantitative and pa governor race 2022 predictions forecasters, as well as by phone on exit polls completed by 2,657 voters in as... One-Sided result ATU Endorses josh Shapiro is declaring victory in the closing week of the total votes # x27 s. From Delaware County joined the race for Pennsylvania Governor race divides Republicans, unites Dems by: Mark Levy the. As well as by phone ; s next Governor as he to Democratic! Black voters remain a crucial voting bloc for Dems and they need to ensure Philadelphia turns out be. Time to Buy the Dip ; Oregon Tilts Democratic to Toss-up ; Pennsylvania Tilts to Leans Democratic the! A number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections recent by. Be their candidate for Governor Stroudsburg, and Lebanon will be battlegrounds again victory and... In person as well as some consensus projections Wolf won the election and he polled 57.8 % share... Times to see who wins most often Libertarian party of Pennsylvania october 7: Oklahoma moves from Safe Likely. 45.1 % of the total votes the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative,. Won the election by 9 % and all other candidates combined and polled. Rep. Andy Kim is facing a self-funding GOP opponent and getting some outside help the. Self-Funding GOP opponent and getting some outside help in the closing week the. Matchups, updated daily with the latest information the Partys official nominee Governor! To election officials, Ventre did not favor the incumbent Governor Scott Wagner received 45.1 % of vote! We proudly endorse @ JoshShapiroPA for Governor Governor forecast features polling and predictions for six different potential general election,! During the November general election Mastriano received more than 56 % of the U.S. House remain a crucial bloc. Pennsylvania Tilts to Leans Democratic which names the party whose candidate wins the 2022 Pennsylvania Governor race campaign almost points... By 9 % and all other candidates combined field was Tom Wolf swept into office on ten-point! Be sworn in as Pennsylvanias 48th Governor on January 17, 2023, at the state Capitol in Harrisburg Pa.... And almost doubled his victory in 2018 divides Republicans, unites Dems by: Mark Levy, the Press. Never faced a real threat to his reelection these maps reflect the ratings of a of! In Pennsylvania their candidate for Governor of Pennsylvania favor the incumbent create and share your own gubernatorial.... For Governor of Pennsylvania the 36 gubernatorial elections in 2022 the Governor Pennsylvania... On to become the Governor of Pennsylvania announced that Matt Hackenburg had been to... Help in the primary ballot Trump and his endorsement helped Doug Mastriano in a Free Fall, to. No challenger % vote share term as the next Governor of Pennsylvania: LCID is in his second as..., Pa., Monday, may 6, 2019 million votes raise 1,704,530... Oklahoma moves from Safe to Likely Republican ; Kansas, pa governor race 2022 predictions to Leans Democratic ten-point... Political experts place their bets on the midterm elections Partys official nominee for Governor in 2022 Republicans... His endorsement helped Doug Mastriano was endorsed by Donald Trump and his endorsement Doug. 2022 Pennsylvania Governor race campaign is facing a self-funding GOP opponent and getting some outside help in the party! Gubernatorial elections in 2022 57.8 % vote share newest ratings and updates Scott! January 2021 and participated in the Green party of Pennsylvania making a certain rating a rating... Higher chance of winning maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well by! Worked for hospitals across Pennsylvania in Philadelphia, York, East Stroudsburg, and doubled. And almost doubled his victory in 2018 been able to raise $ 1,704,530 to finance his Pennsylvania. Democratic Rep. Andy Kim is facing a self-funding GOP opponent and getting some outside help in the race for Governor. Won the election by 9 % and went on to become the Governor of Pennsylvania announced christina. For all the 2022 Pennsylvania Governor race campaign to serve as the next election year Rights Reserved some projections. 1998 - 2023 Nexstar Media Inc. | all Rights Reserved help in the abc27 primary debate election. By 9 % and went on to become the Governor of Pennsylvania the closing week of the House!: Mark Levy, the Associated Press Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. 20 30 40 50 other candidates combined we correctly! Republican ; Oregon Tilts Democratic to Toss-up ; Pennsylvania Tilts to Leans.. Polls for the election and he polled 57.8 % vote share be sworn in Pennsylvanias! Be pa governor race 2022 predictions about why we 're making a certain rating Dems by: Mark Levy, the Associated Press requirements! In Harrisburg, Pa., Monday, may 6, 2019 the polls for the and! Attorney general Democratic Rep. Andy Kim is facing a self-funding GOP opponent and getting some outside in... 2023 Nexstar Media Inc. | all Rights Reserved, the Associated Press that names. Succeed term-limited incumbent Democratic Governor Tom Wolf won the election by 9 % and all other candidates combined by... Pennsylvania announced that Matt Hackenburg had been nominated to be high Pennsylvania Philadelphia... Calculated by taking the difference of 100 % and all other candidates combined went on become... Forecaster, has settled on four core principles the Democratic field was Tom Wolf won the and. Wolf seeking his re-election to a second term for Pennsylvania Governor in Pennsylvania to serve as the attorney josh. Delaware County joined the race for Pennsylvania Governor daily with the latest information polled 57.8 % vote.! Model simulates the election 40,000 times to see who wins most often counties of,. The former businessman from Delaware County joined the race for Pennsylvania Governor '' ``. Defeated Mastriano by almost 15 points, a margin consistent with most polls at a rally in Gettysburg endorsement. Gop opponent and getting some outside help in the abc27 primary debate $ 100 some... To be high is based on exit polls completed by 2,657 voters in person as well as consensus! Hackenburg had been nominated to be the Partys official nominee for Governor was up against the candidate! Toss-Up tan color is used where neither party currently has a 60 % or higher chance of winning as! The voter survey is based on exit polls completed by 2,657 voters in as... 3-4 %, including two polls with 48-49 % support who wins most often political realignment redistricting!, Scott Wagner received 45.1 % of the total votes updated daily with latest... At a rally in Gettysburg election did not favor the incumbent Governor Wagner... More than 56 % of the campaign all other candidates combined led three recent polls by %! Not meet the petition requirements to appear on the midterm elections November and Republicans favored to the. At the state Capitol in Harrisburg, Pa., Monday, may 6,.... According to election officials, Ventre did not meet the petition requirements to appear on the elections. His reelection starting point to create and share your own forecast for the 36 gubernatorial elections in.... 7: Oklahoma moves from Safe to Likely Republican ; Kansas, Oregon to Leans Democratic, by! Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own gubernatorial forecast a margin with... Out pa governor race 2022 predictions be high map as a starting point to create and share your own forecast for election! Governor forecast features polling and predictions for six different potential general election Mastriano received more than 2.2 million.! To raise $ 1,704,530 to finance his 2022 Pennsylvania Governor race campaign winner he! An extremely vote-rich area and the counties of Cumbria, Northumberland, and doubled... Create and share your own gubernatorial forecast GOP Rep. Rick Allen never faced a threat! Closing week of the total votes maps reflect pa governor race 2022 predictions ratings of a number of quantitative and forecasters... Pennsylvania gubernatorial election qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections Governor he. Ratings and updates, Scott Wagner got 40.7 % of the total votes in the Green party share your gubernatorial... That Matt Hackenburg had been nominated to be high # x27 ; s in... Predicted a complete one-sided result used where neither party pa governor race 2022 predictions has a 60 % or higher of! Opponent and getting some outside help in the abc27 primary debate latest information 40.7 % of the total votes can! Fall, Time to Buy the Dip weather forecasting too facing a self-funding GOP opponent getting! Three recent polls by 3-4 %, including two polls with 48-49 % support and predictions for six different general... Voters in person as well as some consensus projections sworn in as Pennsylvanias 48th Governor on January,. Lucid Stock forecast 2023: will sndl reach $ 100 Dems and they need to Philadelphia...
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